For the Quarter Ending June 2026
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Coffee Prices in听APAC
- In Vietnam, the Coffee Price Index fell by 8.78% quarter-over-quarter, reflecting abundant exportable supply and pricing pressure.
- The average Coffee price for the quarter was approximately USD 3376.67/MT, per Hai Phong FOB.
- Coffee Spot Price weakened as ample exports and Brazilian flows pressured seller offers and bids.
- Coffee Price Forecast indicates modest near-term gains as seasonal tightening offsets larger harvest expectations later.
- Coffee Production Cost Trend remained subdued with steady fertiliser imports, limiting immediate origin-side price push.
- Coffee Demand Outlook shows cautious roaster procurement while domestic consumption growth supports steady buying momentum.
- Coffee Price Index recovered June as harvest tapered, exportable volumes tightened and buyers increased purchases.
- Port inventories tightened and force-majeure events reduced shipments, supporting firmer bids and narrowing spot discounts.
Why did the price of Coffee change in June 2026 in APAC?
- Harvest tapering and force majeure constrained exportable volumes, reducing immediately available supply for shipment and offers.
- Stronger European and regional buying increased offtake as Arabica weakness encouraged Robusta blend substitution and restocking.
- Stable input costs and smooth logistics limited production cost pressures, leaving supply-demand balance to determine prices.
India
- In India, the Coffee Price Index fell by 7.93% quarter-over-quarter, reflecting export shipments tightening availability.
- Export acceleration reduced local supply, lifting Coffee Spot Price levels despite softer global benchmark futures.
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Coffee Prices in听South America
- In Brazil, the Coffee Price Index fell by 9.3989% quarter-over-quarter, reflecting record harvest, weak exports.
- The average Coffee price for the quarter was approximately USD 5526.67/MT, reflecting subdued roast demand.
- Improved harvest arrivals pressured the Coffee Spot Price, causing weakness across Brazil's domestic Price Index.
- Near-term Coffee Price Forecast signals modest recovery contingent on export flow normalisation and seasonal buying.
- Stable diesel and input pricing maintained Coffee Production Cost Trend, largely limiting upward price pressure.
- Coffee Demand Outlook remains subdued as roasters digest elevated inventories, reducing immediate spot market purchases.
- Exporter warehouse builds expanded availability, weighing on the Coffee Price Index despite normal port logistics.
- Forward selling by cooperatives amplified downside momentum, pressuring the Coffee Spot Price and origin differentials.
Why did the price of Coffee change in June 2026 in South America?
- Record 2026/27 Brazilian harvest expectations increased exportable supply, reducing competitive bidding and pressuring FOB quotations.
- High ICE certified stocks and interior warehouse builds lowered urgency for roasters, dampening export purchases.
- Stable production costs and port operations encouraged exporters to lower offers and clear harvest deliveries.
Colombia
- In Colombia, the Coffee Price Index fell by 0.46% quarter-over-quarter, reflecting export and harvesting adjustments.
- Fresh export withholding tightened immediate volumes, pushing the Coffee Spot Price higher in June trading.
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Coffee Prices in听North America
- In the USA, the Coffee Price Index fell quarter-over-quarter, reflecting comfortable inventories and cautious roasting demand.
- Coffee Spot Price weakened in June as improved import availability and softer global benchmark prices pressured offers.
- Coffee Price Forecast indicates limited near-term recovery as adequate inventories and balanced supply weigh on market sentiment.
- Coffee Production Cost Trend remained stable with easing freight costs and limited changes in processing expenses.
- Coffee Demand Outlook softened as roasters limited purchases to immediate requirements amid sufficient inventory levels.
- The Coffee Price Index reflected weaker procurement activity despite steady retail and foodservice consumption.
- Improved arrivals from Brazil, Vietnam, and Colombia maintained ample supply across the domestic market.
- Buyers adopted conservative purchasing strategies, reducing spot market activity and limiting upward price momentum.
Why did the price of Coffee change in June 2026 in North America?
- Higher import arrivals increased product availability and reduced supply concerns.
- Roasters maintained cautious procurement due to comfortable inventories and softer global coffee prices.
- Stable logistics and production costs limited cost-driven support for Coffee prices.
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Coffee Prices in听Europe
- In Germany, the Coffee Price Index fell quarter-over-quarter, reflecting improved import availability and subdued buying interest.
- Coffee Spot Price softened in June as increased shipments from major producing countries eased supply tightness.
- Coffee Price Forecast suggests prices are expected to remain under mild pressure amid comfortable inventories and balanced supply.
- Coffee Production Cost Trend remained largely stable as freight and processing costs showed limited volatility.
- Coffee Demand Outlook weakened as roasters deferred bulk purchases while utilizing existing inventories.
- The Coffee Price Index reflected slower procurement despite stable consumption across the retail and foodservice sectors.
- Comfortable warehouse stocks and regular import arrivals maintained adequate market availability throughout the quarter.
- Suppliers offered competitive pricing to stimulate sales, contributing to the softer Coffee market sentiment.
Why did the price of Coffee change in June 2026 in Europe?
- Improved imports from Brazil, Vietnam, and Colombia increased Coffee availability across the region.
- Cautious purchasing by roasters reduced spot market demand during June.
- Stable logistics costs and comfortable inventories limited upward pressure on Coffee prices.
For the Quarter Ending March 2026
听
Coffee Prices in听APAC
- In Vietnam, the Coffee Price Index fell by 11.16% quarter-over-quarter, reflecting weaker export demand conditions.
- The average Coffee price for the quarter was approximately USD 3701.67/MT, recorded FOB Hai Phong.
- Vietnamese exporters quoted lower Coffee Spot Price offers as roasters reduced buying amid abundant supply.
- Coffee Price Forecast anticipates modest recovery supported by seasonal restocking and improved logistical flow.
- Elevated fertiliser and labour expenses tightened the Coffee Production Cost Trend, pressuring smallholder selling decisions.
- Coffee Demand Outlook weakened as European roasters covered requirements, reducing spot enquiries and short-term purchasing.
- Export loadings and steady processing rates left the Coffee Price Index biased toward downward pressure.
- Exporters accelerated shipments before tax-year end, boosting available volumes and dampening origin price momentum further.
Why did the price of Coffee change in March 2026 in APAC?
- Ample March harvest arrivals increased exportable volumes, raising near-term supply and pressuring FOB price realization.
- Reduced European roaster spot buying after Q1 coverage weakened demand, prompting exporters to trim differentials.
- Improved Brazilian supply prospects and easing speculative length depressed benchmarks and origin Coffee Spot Price.
听
Coffee Prices in听South America
- In Brazil, the Coffee Price Index fell by 11.47% quarter-over-quarter, reflecting ample forward supply pressure.
- The average Coffee price for the quarter was approximately USD 6100/MT with subdued roaster demand.
- Short-term tightness pushed the Coffee Spot Price higher as exporters delayed offers awaiting real exchange.
- The Coffee Price Forecast shows recovery potential as harvest timing and logistics influence near-term availability.
- Diesel and input increases lifted the Coffee Production Cost Trend, pressuring farmers' margins, delaying sales.
- The Coffee Demand Outlook is muted; steady roaster programmes limited incremental offtake despite seasonal restocking.
- Certified port inventories climbed, easing urgency and tempering the Coffee Price Index's immediate upside pressure.
- Dry-mill operations ran near capacity with normal port flows, supporting exporters' readiness and shipment schedule reliability.
Why did the price of Coffee change in March 2026 in South America?
- Stronger real reduced FOB margins, prompting producers to withhold beans and tightening prompt market availability globally.
- Pre-Easter roaster cover in Europe and United States increased demand, drawing extra cargoes through Santos.
- Rising diesel and input costs increased harvesting expenses, encouraging delayed selling and constraining export volumes.
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Coffee Prices in听Europe
- In Germany, the Coffee Price Index rose听 quarter-over-quarter, reflecting tighter Arabica availability from origin markets.
- European roasters paid higher Coffee Spot Price premiums as certified stocks tightened across major warehouses.
- Coffee Price Forecast indicates continued firmness supported by limited global arabica supply and steady roasting demand.
- Rising freight costs and origin inflation influenced the Coffee Production Cost Trend, increasing landed cost pressure.
- Coffee Demand Outlook remained stable as European roasters maintained consistent blending and retail supply programs.
- Warehouse withdrawals and reduced certified stocks strengthened the Coffee Price Index across ICE-linked deliveries.
- Delayed shipments from Brazil and Vietnam tightened near-term availability, supporting higher spot differentials.
Why did the price of Coffee change in March 2026 in Europe?
- Reduced certified warehouse stocks tightened available supply, pushing European buyers to pay higher premiums.
- Delayed shipments from Brazil and Vietnam constrained near-term availability in key European import hubs.
- Stable but consistent roaster demand prevented inventory build-up, reinforcing upward price pressure.
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Coffee Prices in听North America
- In the USA, the Coffee Price Index rose听quarter-over-quarter, supported by firm retail and roasting demand.
- Coffee Spot Price strengthened as roasters increased forward coverage amid tightening certified arabica inventories.
- Coffee Price Forecast suggests sustained firmness due to global supply constraints and resilient consumption trends.
- Higher freight rates and origin pricing influenced the Coffee Production Cost Trend, increasing landed costs.
- Coffee Demand Outlook remained steady, supported by strong retail consumption and stable foodservice recovery.
- ICE-certified warehouse drawdowns reduced availability, supporting a firmer Coffee Price Index across futures-linked trade.
- Brazilian and Central American shipment delays reduced prompt supply, increasing reliance on higher-priced origins.
Why did the price of Coffee change in March 2026 in North America?
- Lower ICE-certified inventories reduced available stocks, forcing roasters to secure higher-priced physical supply.
- Shipment delays from Brazil and Central America tightened prompt availability in US import channels.
- Stable consumer demand and forward coverage buying by roasters sustained upward pressure on prices.
For the Quarter Ending December 2025
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Coffee Prices in North America
- In the United States, the Coffee Price Index declined modestly quarter-over-quarter, reflecting easing futures and comfortable inventories at roaster level.
- Coffee Spot Price softened in December as ICE futures corrected and roasters relied on previously contracted volumes.
- Coffee Price Forecast suggests mild upside risk in early 2026, supported by post-holiday restocking and tightening certified stocks.
- Coffee Production Cost Trend remained broadly stable as freight rates normalised and input costs showed limited volatility.
- Coffee Demand Outlook weakened during Q4 as major roasters slowed spot purchases and focused on inventory optimisation.
- The Coffee Price Index reflected balanced imports, steady port operations, and limited urgency from buyers.
- Adequate warehouse availability and smooth inland logistics reduced supply-side disruptions, capping price volatility.
Why did the price of Coffee change in December 2025 in North America?
- Softening futures prices reduced replacement costs, encouraging roasters to delay fresh spot purchases.
- Year-end inventory drawdowns and completed forward contracts lowered immediate demand for physical coffee.
- Stable import flows and efficient port logistics ensured availability, limiting upward price pressure.
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Coffee Prices in APAC
- In Vietnam, the Coffee Price Index fell by 1.08% quarter-over-quarter, reflecting harvest arrivals reducing offers.
- The average Coffee price for the quarter was approximately USD 4166.67/MT, reported by export statistics.
- Coffee Spot Price volatility increased in December as futures softened and physical offers became competitive.
- Coffee Price Forecast indicates moderate recovery early next year supported by seasonal restocking, tightening exports.
- Coffee Production Cost Trend remained stable as fertilizer and logistics costs were unchanged this quarter.
- Coffee Demand Outlook softened in Europe as roasters drew inventory, weakening the Coffee Price Index.
- Rising bonded stocks at Hai Phong and efficient port operations increased export availability, pressuring offers.
- Large exporters increased shifts to manage harvest inflows while forward buying, speculative interest lifted offers.
Why did the price of Coffee change in December 2025 in APAC?
- Peak harvest deliveries swelled exportable supply, increasing bonded stocks and relieving earlier congestion premiums rapidly.
- Haiphong port throughput improved, clearing yard congestion and enabling normalised shipments, reducing short-term price support.
- Overseas roasters front-loaded purchases earlier quarter, then trimmed spot buying, softening demand amid rising inventories.
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Coffee Prices in Europe
- In Europe, the Coffee Price Index edged lower quarter-over-quarter, pressured by subdued roasting demand and ample inventories.
- Coffee Spot Price eased in December as exporters competed aggressively and futures-linked pricing softened.
- Coffee Price Forecast points to cautious recovery in early 2026, contingent on restocking activity and tighter origin supplies.
- Coffee Production Cost Trend remained steady as energy and logistics costs showed minimal quarter-on-quarter change.
- Coffee Demand Outlook softened as European roasters reduced spot buying and prioritised inventory management.
- The Coffee Price Index tracked rising warehouse stocks and muted buying interest across key consuming hubs.
- Smooth port operations and consistent inflows from Asia and Latin America maintained supply comfort.
Why did the price of Coffee change in December 2025 in Europe?
- Weaker futures markets translated into lower spot offers, pressuring physical coffee prices.
- Roasters slowed procurement after meeting earlier-quarter needs, reducing spot market liquidity.
- Ample bonded inventories and efficient logistics reduced urgency among buyers, sustaining downward pressure.
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Coffee Prices in South America
- In Brazil, the Coffee Price Index rose by 10.78% quarter-over-quarter, reflecting tighter supply and stronger export demand.
- The average Coffee price for the quarter was approximately USD 6890.00/MT, based on FOB Santos shipments.
- Coffee Spot Price softened in December as Brazilian harvests improved, reducing arbitrage and pressuring Santos differentials.
- Coffee Price Forecast suggests modest volatility into Q1 as seasonal restocking competes with rising new-crop arrivals.
- Coffee Production Cost Trend remained contained as energy and processing expenses represented share of FOB values.
- Coffee Demand Outlook weakened into December as roaster buying slowed following heavy pre-holiday forward cover activity.
- Coffee Price Index movements were driven by inventory draws in the quarter and easing port congestion.
- Export enquiry strengthened late-quarter, but warehouse inventories remained sufficient, capping near-term upside for FOB differentials.
Why did the price of Coffee change in December 2025 in South America?
- Improved crop prospects in Minas Gerais eased supply concerns, prompting exporters to offer volumes domestically.
- Year-end buyers curtailed purchases after November cover, weakening spot demand and pressuring Coffee Spot Price.
- Port congestion eased and inventories remained ample, reducing urgency for bids and limiting price recovery.
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Quarter Ending September 2025
North America
- The Price Index for coffee in North America showed a moderate upward trend in Q3 2025, driven by tightening global supply and sustained consumer demand.听
- Specialty coffee brands faced increased cost pressures, while commercial blends remained relatively stable.
- Robusta prices were comparatively lower but also saw upward movement due to increased demand for cost-effective blends.
- The Production Cost Trend remained elevated due to rising labor and transportation costs in key exporting countries.听
- Roasters and distributors in North America faced higher input costs, which were partially passed on to consumers.
- The Demand Outlook for Q4 2025 remains strong, supported by seasonal consumption, caf茅 chain expansion, and rising interest in specialty brews.听
- However, price sensitivity among consumers may temper growth in lower-income segments.
- The Price Forecast for Q4 suggests a continued upward bias, especially if weather-related disruptions persist in Latin America.听
- Retailers may adjust pricing strategies to balance margins and consumer affordability.
Why did the price of coffee change in September 2025 in North America?
- In September 2025, coffee prices increased due to global supply disruptions, particularly in Brazil and Indonesia, where adverse weather and El Ni帽o effects reduced output.
- This led to lower inventories and higher import costs, pushing up Spot Prices across North American markets.
APAC
- In Vietnam, the Coffee Price Index fell by 7.9% quarter-over-quarter, due to strong harvests and ample global supply.
- The average Coffee price for the quarter was approximately USD 4212/MT, based on regional quotations.
- Coffee Spot Price softened as regional supplies remained comfortable and demand cooled in APAC markets across Southeast Asia.
- Price Forecast for Coffee remained cautious amid rising inventories and policy shifts, supporting the overall Price Index trend.
- Production Cost Trend faced pressure from energy, fertilizer costs, and logistics, narrowing producer margins and affecting pricing strategies.
- Demand Outlook is mixed; export momentum remains robust, but domestic consumption in APAC shows a softening trajectory.
- Price Index movements reflect currency fluctuations, freight costs, and regulatory tightening impacting Vietnamese coffee pricing competitiveness.
- Export activity supported by favorable harvests, yet Europe demand softness and sustainability rules shaped trade flows.
Why did the price of Coffee change in September 2025 in APAC?
- Vietnam benefited from larger harvests and favorable monsoon conditions, boosting supply growth and pressuring prices.
- Currency volatility and freight costs weighed on export margins, elevating perceived price risks for buyers.
- Policy changes such as VAT and trade regulations influenced domestic pricing, supplier flexibility, and overall demand sentiment.
Europe
- The Price Index for coffee in Europe increased during Q3 2025. This was driven by tight global supply, particularly from Brazil and Vietnam, and sustained demand from both at-home and out-of-home consumption channels.
- The Production Cost Trend remained elevated due to rising labor and logistics costs in exporting countries.听
- European roasters faced higher input costs, particularly for specialty grades, which impacted margins and retail pricing strategies.
- The Demand Outlook for Q4 2025 remains strong, supported by seasonal consumption, caf茅 expansion, and rising interest in premium and sustainable brews.听
- However, price sensitivity among consumers may limit growth in lower-income segments.
- The Price Forecast for Q4 suggests a continued upward bias, especially if adverse weather persists in Latin America and Southeast Asia.
- Retailers may adjust pricing strategies to balance cost pressures and consumer affordability
Why did the price of coffee change in September 2025 in Europe?听
- In September 2025, coffee prices increased due to weather-related disruptions in major producing regions, including hail damage in Brazil and drought conditions in Southeast Asia.听
- These factors reduced export volumes and pushed up Spot Prices across European markets.
South America
- In Brazil, the Coffee Price Index fell by 10.13% quarter-over-quarter, reflecting downward pressure from new harvest and oversupply.
- The average Coffee price for the quarter was approximately USD 6219.33/MT, amid global inventory rebalancing.
- Coffee Spot Price remains under pressure as harvest flows increase through the June peak.
- Coffee Price Forecast remains cautious amid weather and demand shifts as producers adjust to tariff and policy headwinds.
- Coffee Production Cost Trend shows rising freight and labor costs as transport disruptions and energy prices add pressure.
- Coffee Demand Outlook remains mixed but generally supported by consumption growth in emerging markets and steady domestic demand.
- Coffee Price Index remains volatile as price discovery fluctuates with harvest cycles and regulatory changes.
- Inventories in major hubs remain steady, limiting near-term upside despite ongoing harvest pace and export activity.
- Export demand from Brazil faces regulatory headwinds and currency volatility, affecting pricing and shipment timing across key markets.
- Why did the price of Coffee change in September 2025 in South America?
- Abundant harvest arrivals increased supply, pressuring prices despite ongoing weather risks in September 2025.
- Tariff policy shifts and currency volatility constrained demand, limiting price support.
- Logistics bottlenecks and export delays kept prompt buyers cautious.
For the Quarter Ending June 2025
North America
- The Imported Coffee Spot Price in North America declined modestly over Q2鈥揓uly 2025, with additional downward pressure noted in July due to easing market conditions.
- Global supply strength鈥攈ighlighted by improved harvests in Brazil and Vietnam鈥攈elped stabilize futures, with Arabica prices dipping to multi-week lows and Robusta also softening.听
- Domestic consumption remained robust overall鈥攁bout 66% of Americans drink coffee daily, and specialty coffee consumption hit a 14-year high鈥攂ut this did little to offset wholesale price softness.
- Cost pressures at retail remain significant: food inflation nears 3%, with coffee product costs rising over 13% year-over-year, while wholesale bean prices have fallen.听
- Tariff concerns and trade uncertainty鈥攕uch as the proposed U.S. 50% tariff on Brazilian imports set for August鈥攑rompted forward buying in June, followed by a lull in July as buyers exercised caution.听
Why did the prices of Coffee change in USA in July 2025?
- In July 2025, wholesale coffee prices softened, reflecting a combination of supply stability and demand caution.
- Improved supply forecasts and swelling stock levels undercut speculative rallies, reducing momentum behind futures price spikes
- Meanwhile, fears of pre-tariff stockpiling have subsided, leading to moderation in immediate market enthusiasm.
APAC
- The Vietnam Robusta Coffee Spot Price in Asia exhibited a two phase pattern over Q2 2025: a notable uptick in April followed by a steady decline in May and June.
- April鈥檚 rise was driven by below average rainfall in Brazil (tightening global supply expectations), appreciation of the Brazilian real, and strength in Robusta futures.
- From May onward, the arrival of Vietnam鈥檚 new crop鈥攁ided by renewed farmer investment, mechanization, and favorable Central Highlands weather鈥攅xpanded output by an estimated 7%, creating a local and global supply surplus.
- Export volumes fell sharply in April and May (down over 27% YoY in April and 33% in May), reflecting soft international demand, though June saw mixed performance as some markets regained interest.
- Macroeconomic and geopolitical factors鈥攊ncluding U.S. import tariffs, currency swings, and evolving trade policies鈥攁dded to market caution, leading buyers to delay purchases amid uncertain near term fundamentals.
Why did the prices of Coffee change in Asia in July 2025?
- In July 2025, robusta coffee prices in Asia continued their fall, mirroring a broader regional trend.
- Vietnam鈥檚 robusta harvest surged: early-season rainfall in the Central Highlands boosted output, with a projected 7% increase in 2025/26 yields.
- Exporters and international buyers stayed cautious amid economic and policy uncertainties.
Europe
- Imported Coffee Spot Prices across Europe softened in July 2025, building on a late Q2 dip after reaching multi-month highs during earlier weather concerns.
- European coffee stocks remain near multi-decade lows despite declining prices, reflecting a slowdown in imports since early 2025.
- Supply-side factors include global production tightness鈥攅specially in Brazil and Vietnam鈥攖hough Europe鈥檚 relative independence from weather disruptions has muted immediate price shocks.
- Demand trends are mixed: sustained demand for specialty and premium coffee supports some resilience, but widespread cost-of-living pressures are causing cautious consumer behavior.
- EU regulatory uncertainty, especially the new deforestation-free import rules set to take full effect in 2025, is reshaping sourcing strategies. Germany鈥檚 major roasters are preparing for potential supply disruptions and higher compliance costs.
Why did the prices of Coffee change in Europe in July 2025?
- In July 2025, European coffee prices, particularly Arabica, softened, continuing the correction following late-quarter peaks.
- Supply-side relief, combined with softer import demand and retail consumer resistance, has pressured European coffee prices in July.
- With EU stocks still low, prices are likely to trade within a range unless global supply tightens significantly or regulatory clarity improves.
South America听
- During Q2 2025, coffee prices in Brazil showed mixed movement, beginning with a notable increase in April due to weather-related supply concerns but gradually declining through May and June as harvest activity picked up.听
- The initial rise in prices was driven by below-average rainfall affecting crop prospects and a stronger Brazilian Real, which made exports more expensive. However, by May and June, the arrival of new crop volumes鈥攄espite mixed bean quality鈥攃ontributed to oversupply, exerting downward pressure on prices. April 2025:听
- The onset of the 2025/26 harvest was met with pessimism due to persistent dry weather in major Arabica-growing regions, with overall coffee production expected to decline by 3% YoY. Arabica faced notable challenges, while Robusta volumes were set to rise, partially offsetting supply losses.
- In May 2025 Supply-side conditions improved slightly, supported by favorable rainfall, boosting yield expectations. However, inventories remained high due to weak international demand. Export volumes to Italy and Belgium fell significantly, leading to excess domestic stockpiles despite smaller shipments abroad.
- During June 2025 Harvesting was in full swing, with a robust Robusta crop ensuring ample overall supply. Arabica quality varied鈥攔oughly 20% of the crop was deemed subpar due to earlier dry conditions. Despite improved yields in the latter half of the month, the market remained oversupplied, placing consistent downward pressure on prices.
- Demand trends were mixed. On one hand, U.S. importers faced rising costs due to newly implemented tariffs of at least 10%, reducing purchasing appetite. On the other hand, European buyers contended with new Green Deal regulations, requiring tighter sustainability and traceability standards鈥攆urther complicating sourcing decisions. These policy shifts disrupted traditional buying behavior and contributed to demand-side caution despite reasonable availability.
Why did the prices of Coffee change in South America in July 2025?听
- In July 2025, Brazilian coffee prices experienced a noticeable decline, despite previous concerns about supply.
- Brazil鈥檚 2025/26 harvest progressed rapidly鈥攂y mid-July, 77% of the harvest was complete (93% of Robusta, 67% of Arabica), exceeding last year鈥檚 pace.
- With supply flooding the market, both Arabica and Robusta futures were pressured, as traders priced in the new crop influx.
