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Global Ammonia Market Faces Divergent Trends Amid Supply and Demand Uncertainty
Global Ammonia Market Faces Divergent Trends Amid Supply and Demand Uncertainty

Global Ammonia Market Faces Divergent Trends Amid Supply and Demand Uncertainty

  • 19-May-2025 3:00 PM
  • Journalist: S. Jayavikraman

The Ammonia market remained weak during the inaugural week of May 2025, concluding on May 9. This bearish trend is primarily attributed to narrowed disparity between demand and supply. In the Indian market the prices remained stable despite of muted spot demand amidst contractual shipments taking place. However, in North America the prices declined by a notable margin owing to eased supply constraints.

In the Indian market the Ammonia prices have remained largely stable during the review period. This price stagnancy is primarily attributed to a more closely matched demand-supply dynamic. Regarding the demand situation, the market remained consistent with no new spot purchased reported. The current Ammonia procurement in the Indian market is predominantly being conducted on a contractual basis. Moreover, with the Rabi season having concluded last month, traders are in a wait-and-watch mode, preparing to begin stockpiling in anticipation of the Kharif planting season. Some major fertilizer procurers in India, including Fertilizers and Chemicals Travancore (FACT), Indian Farmers Fertilizer Cooperative Limited (IFFCO), and Rashtriya Chemicals and Fertilizers (RCF), have already secured their required volumes. These cargoes are tentatively scheduled to arrive by mid-June 2025.

On the supply side, inventories of Ammonia remained sufficient to meet end-user demand in April 2025. Contractual import shipments arrived on schedule, ensuring uninterrupted supply to downstream sectors. According to insights from market participants, India imported approximately 190,000 metric tons of Ammonia previous month and thus the traders are in a good position in terms of supply.

On the other hand, in the US market, the FOB prices for Ammonia at the New Orleans recorded marginal decline of 1% on week-on-week basis, and by 5% on a CFR basis at the Tampa port.

The current bearish sentiment in the North American market decline is driven by a seasonal slowdown in the demand from the prominent downstream agricultural sector. With the domestic planting season progress the pre-plant Ammonia applications diminish. This has compelled the Ammonia suppliers within the region to adjust the prices downward to clear inventories and minimize the carryover volumes ahead of the end of season. On the supply side, domestically produced Ammonia inventories in North America have remained sufficient to meet downstream demand. The recent resumption of operations at the YARA Tringen II plant鈥攆ollowing a scheduled turnaround of approximately 45 to 50 days that began in March鈥攈as further strengthened the supply outlook. The plant鈥檚 restart is expected to boost regional production capacity and ease any near-term concerns over availability. Overall, with adequate stock levels and improved production, supply-side pressures in the North American Ammonia market remain limited as the planting season progresses.

As per 果酱视频, the Ammonia prices are expected to remain volatile during the forthcoming days owing to frequent planting season and fluctuating feedstock cost.

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